Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000012 0.000014 0.000015
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000016 0.000019
2025-01-05 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000023
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019 0.000027
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000021 0.000032
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000038
2025-02-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000047
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000030 0.000055
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000034 0.000066
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000020 0.000037 0.000077
2025-03-02 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000020 0.000040 0.000088
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000021 0.000043 0.000100
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000047 0.000119
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000023 0.000052 0.000142
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000023 0.000055 0.000158
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000024 0.000058 0.000181
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000024 0.000062 0.000205
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000025 0.000068 0.000241
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000027 0.000078 0.000302
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000028 0.000084 0.000354
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000030 0.000093 0.000424
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000031 0.000101 0.000498
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000031 0.000107 0.000563